Homeboyz 2-2 Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 22 Dec 2025

📅22/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.57
Draw
40%
2.66
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.67
No
57%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
35%
-9.9pp
40%
Draw
34%
+6.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
33%
+9.7pp
57%
BTTS No
67%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Police EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.00/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.33
+16% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homeboyz
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Police
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
21.12.2024 Police Police 1-1 HT 0-0 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN
26.09.2021 Homeboyz Homeboyz 1-0 HT 0-0 Police Police KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Homeboyz
2-2
AWAY Police
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Homeboyz vs Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homeboyz and Police shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 25% / 40% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Homeboyz had 57% of the ball to Police's 43%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Homeboyz had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Homeboyz and 0.50 for Police.

What was the final score of Homeboyz vs Police?

Homeboyz 2-2 Police in the Kenya - Premier League on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homeboyz vs Police?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Homeboyz 25%, draw 40%, Police 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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