TransMara Sugar 1-3 Muranga All Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 22 Dec 2025

📅22/12/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.67
No
62%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.9pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
33%
+4.6pp
62%
BTTS No
67%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Muranga All Stars EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.75/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.86
-21% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransMara Sugar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Muranga All Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.09.2024 Muranga All Stars Muranga All Stars 1-1 HT 1-0 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransMara Sugar
1-3
AWAY Muranga All Stars
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH TransMara Sugar vs Muranga All Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muranga All Stars saw off TransMara Sugar 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Muranga All Stars found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, TransMara Sugar had 57% of the ball to Muranga All Stars's 43%, shots finished 19-14.

What was the final score of TransMara Sugar vs Muranga All Stars?

TransMara Sugar 1-3 Muranga All Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransMara Sugar vs Muranga All Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransMara Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split TransMara Sugar 36%, draw 34%, Muranga All Stars 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (TransMara Sugar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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