Bradford City 1-1 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Jan 2024

Bradford City
1-1 HT 1-1
Salford City
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Bradford City vs Salford City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.48
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
12%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 29% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.4
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.25
X/2
11%
8.34
X/X
15%
4.88
2/1
8%
23.45
2/2
11%
6.2
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bradford City v Salford City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +27%
1.34/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.33
-23% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
23.2 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Bradford City vs Salford City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Salford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.03
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
303 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.01.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 3-2 HT 2-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
22.11.2022 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İNTK
15.10.2022 Salford City Salford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
15.01.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 2-1 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
11.09.2021 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
27.04.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2

Bradford City 1-1 Salford City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
1-1
AWAY Salford City
2.00 xG 0.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
121 Passes 166
39% Pass Accuracy 51%
25 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City and Salford City shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Bradford City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bradford City had 49% of the ball to Salford City's 51%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 2.00 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bradford City and 1.00 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Salford City?

Bradford City 1-1 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 43%, draw 28%, Salford City 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bradford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Under 2.5
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