Mansfield Town 1-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Jan 2024

Mansfield Town
1-1 HT 1-1
Sutton United
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Mansfield Town vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.62
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
19.8
X/1
19%
3.5
X/2
6%
15.75
X/X
7%
6.98
2/1
10%
21.75
2/2
8%
12.3
2/X
12%
20.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-12.3pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.0pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mansfield Town v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.93/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.81
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -46%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
434 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 67%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
28.5 Crosses 12.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Mansfield Town vs Sutton United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Sutton United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.86 xG 1.07
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
253 Passes 164
64% Pass Accuracy 57%
28 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Sutton United Sutton United 0-2 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
25.03.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
27.08.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 2-1 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
15.04.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-3 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
23.11.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 2-0 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2

Mansfield Town 1-1 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
1-1
AWAY Sutton United
1.85 xG 0.64
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 8
329 Passes 123
77% Pass Accuracy 60%
31 Box Touches 13
35 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town and Sutton United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mansfield Town at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 68% of the ball to Sutton United's 32%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.85 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.40 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Sutton United?

Mansfield Town 1-1 Sutton United in the England - 2nd Division on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 57%, draw 25%, Sutton United 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✗ Over 2.5
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