Botev Plovdiv 3-4 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-13.6pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.5pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 11%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.68/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
-28% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -55%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
483 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
3-4
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze squeezed past Botev Plovdiv 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Botev Plovdiv carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 58% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 42%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Gornik Zabrze?

Botev Plovdiv 3-4 Gornik Zabrze in the Friendlies on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 59%, draw 25%, Gornik Zabrze 16%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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