23/01/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Levski Sofia vs Dukagjini Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
33%
Draw
31%
32%
Away Win
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Levski Sofia v Dukagjini — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Levski Sofia
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dukagjini
EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-35%
/
+10%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
3
3
Corners
5
362 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
302 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Levski Sofia vs Dukagjini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dukagjini edged past Levski Sofia 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Dukagjini made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Dukagjini?
Levski Sofia 1-2 Dukagjini in the Friendlies on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Dukagjini?
Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 35%, draw 33%, Dukagjini 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Levski Sofia)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
23 Jan 2024