23/01/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ballkani Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
38%
27%
Draw
30%
42%
Away Win
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jagiellonia Bialystok v Ballkani — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jagiellonia Bialystok
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ballkani
EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% /
+12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+60%
/
+19%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
381 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
314 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ballkani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ballkani edged past Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ballkani as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ballkani?
Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2 Ballkani in the Friendlies on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ballkani?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ballkani win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 31%, draw 27%, Ballkani 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballkani), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ballkani)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZ
More Friendlies
23 Jan 2024