Raja Casablanca 1-1 Ittihad Tanger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 31% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ittihad Tanger EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.38/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.49
-4% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raja Casablanca
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ittihad Tanger
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2024 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 3-1 HT 3-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
28.05.2024 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 1-2 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
28.12.2023 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 6-1 HT 3-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
21.05.2023 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
06.01.2023 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 3-0 HT 2-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
01.03.2022 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raja Casablanca
1-1
AWAY Ittihad Tanger
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Casablanca and Ittihad Tanger shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Raja Casablanca at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Raja Casablanca had 36% of the ball to Ittihad Tanger's 64%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raja Casablanca had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Raja Casablanca and 0.83 for Ittihad Tanger.

What was the final score of Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger?

Raja Casablanca 1-1 Ittihad Tanger in the Morocco - League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Raja Casablanca 47%, draw 27%, Ittihad Tanger 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Raja Casablanca), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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