Municipal Liberia 4-0 Santa Ana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.1pp
32%
Draw
23%
+9.2pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.9pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Ana EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.02/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.54
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Santa Ana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
70% Ball Possession 30%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-3 HT 0-2 Santa Ana KOSTA
31.08.2024 Santa Ana 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
4-0
AWAY Santa Ana
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Santa Ana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia cruised past Santa Ana 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 60% of the ball to Santa Ana's 40%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Santa Ana led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.50 for Santa Ana.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Santa Ana?

Municipal Liberia 4-0 Santa Ana in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Santa Ana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 48%, draw 32%, Santa Ana 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →