Arbroath vs Greenock Morton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Arbroath v Greenock Morton — Team-Based Signals
Arbroath vs Greenock Morton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Arbroath and Greenock Morton shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
A gentle 46% lean on Arbroath didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.90, about 53% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the under-2.5 price stood at 1.71, roughly 58%.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arbroath and 1.33 for Greenock Morton.
Arbroath vs Greenock Morton Result & Final Score
Arbroath 1-1 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Arbroath vs Greenock Morton Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 46%, draw 28%, Greenock Morton 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.