Brisbane Roar (K) 3-1 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 23 Jan 2026

📅23/01/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.63/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.55
-31% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +124% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
19.1 Crosses 13.0
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.86 xG 1.28
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
327 Passes 222
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.01.2025 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
02.11.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
30.03.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
10.12.2023 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 5-1 HT 3-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
05.12.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
25.01.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 4-1 HT 2-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
3-1
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.63 xG 0.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
264 Passes 197
72% Pass Accuracy 63%
23 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) saw off Canberra United (K) 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Brisbane Roar (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 54% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 46%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.63 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra United (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 2.33 for Canberra United (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 3-1 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 35%, draw 30%, Canberra United (K) 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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