Macaristan (K) 1-5 Belçika (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.75
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
31%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.73
No
35%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
16%
X/X
21%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
23%
+13.9pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.1pp
31%
Away Win
53%
-22.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
54%
+11.6pp
35%
BTTS No
46%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macaristan (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Belçika (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macaristan (K)
1-5
AWAY Belçika (K)
0.79 xG 2.24
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
212 Passes 479
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 21
7 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Macaristan (K) vs Belçika (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belçika (K) swept aside Macaristan (K) 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Belçika (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

On the day, Macaristan (K) had 33% of the ball to Belçika (K)'s 67%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.79 to 2.24.

What was the final score of Macaristan (K) vs Belçika (K)?

Macaristan (K) 1-5 Belçika (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macaristan (K) vs Belçika (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macaristan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Macaristan (K) 37%, draw 32%, Belçika (K) 31%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Macaristan (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macaristan (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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