Jablonec 5-0 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
14%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.36/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.49
+12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.8 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Karvina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.71 xG 0.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
220 Passes 252
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Karvina Karvina 1-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
04.05.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 3-2 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
16.12.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 0-0 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
19.08.2023 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
01.05.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 2-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
13.02.2022 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
5-0
AWAY Karvina
4.09 xG 0.52
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
240 Passes 259
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec ran out comfortable winners over Karvina 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jablonec had 49% of the ball to Karvina's 51%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 4.09 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jablonec and 0.83 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Karvina?

Jablonec 5-0 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 50%, draw 26%, Karvina 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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