Athletic Bilbao vs Valladolid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Athletic Bilbao v Valladolid — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao vs Valladolid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
2-0
HT 1-0
Valladolid
HAZ
3-0
HT 1-0
Valladolid
İS1
2-2
HT 1-0
Valladolid
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
Athletic Bilbao 7-1 Valladolid — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao cruised past Valladolid 7-1. Half-time: 4-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 57% of the ball to Valladolid's 43%, shots finished 29-5, expected goals 4.00 to 0.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.00 for Valladolid.
What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Valladolid?
Athletic Bilbao 7-1 Valladolid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Valladolid?
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 64%, draw 21%, Valladolid 15%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.