Real Madrid 2-0 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 23 Feb 2025

Real Madrid
2-0 HT 1-0
Girona
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Madrid vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.28
2-3 Goals
38%
2.11
4-5 Goals
29%
2.45
6+ Goals
11%
4.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.8
X/1
13%
4.0
X/2
9%
18.3
X/X
8%
9.15
2/1
7%
18.8
2/2
5%
14.0
2/X
6%
22.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-11.9pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.5pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid v Girona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.28/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.22
+25% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
480 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
38.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.9 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.3

Real Madrid vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Girona
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.12 xG 1.52
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
549 Passes 386
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.12.2024 Girona Girona 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
10.02.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-0 HT 2-0 Girona Girona İS1
30.09.2023 Girona Girona 0-3 HT 0-2 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
25.04.2023 Girona Girona 4-2 HT 2-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
30.10.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-1 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS1
17.02.2019 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-2 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS1

Real Madrid 2-0 Girona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid
2-0
AWAY Girona
2.18 xG 0.45
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
634 Passes 350
94% Pass Accuracy 91%
52 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid beat Girona 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Madrid had 63% of the ball to Girona's 37%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.18 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Real Madrid and 1.17 for Girona.

What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Girona?

Real Madrid 2-0 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 60%, draw 21%, Girona 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
23 Feb 2025
16:00 Athletic Bilbao vs Valladolid Analysis →
20:30 Getafe vs Real Betis Analysis →
23:00 Real Sociedad vs Leganes Analysis →