Marbella 3-1 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.31
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.64
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.50/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.16
+7% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Algeciras
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Algeciras Algeciras 1-3 HT 1-2 Marbella Marbella İS3
17.01.2021 Marbella Marbella 0-0 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
18.10.2020 Algeciras Algeciras 0-0 HT 0-0 Marbella Marbella İS3
14.12.2019 Marbella Marbella 0-0 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
3-1
AWAY Algeciras
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella beat Algeciras 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marbella as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Marbella had 56% of the ball to Algeciras's 44%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Marbella had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Marbella and 0.25 for Algeciras.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Algeciras?

Marbella 3-1 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Marbella 45%, draw 24%, Algeciras 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marbella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marbella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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