Sevilla II 1-0 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
4.51
6+ Goals
7%
25.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.36 — our 36% vs market 34.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.5pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.6pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.82/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.54
+30% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla II
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Hercules
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 3.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Hercules Hercules 1-0 HT 1-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
05.04.2009 Hercules Hercules 8-0 HT 5-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS2
02.11.2008 Sevilla II Sevilla II 1-2 HT 1-0 Hercules Hercules İS2
01.06.2008 Sevilla II Sevilla II 3-4 HT 1-2 Hercules Hercules İS2
06.01.2008 Hercules Hercules 1-2 HT 0-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla II
1-0
AWAY Hercules
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sevilla II vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla II edged past Hercules 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sevilla II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sevilla II had 51% of the ball to Hercules's 49%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hercules led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sevilla II and 3.20 for Hercules.

What was the final score of Sevilla II vs Hercules?

Sevilla II 1-0 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla II vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sevilla II 42%, draw 25%, Hercules 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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