Merida AD vs Real Murcia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Merida AD v Real Murcia — Team-Based Signals
Merida AD vs Real Murcia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Real Murcia
İS3
1-0
HT 1-0
Real Murcia
İS3
1-0
HT 1-0
Merida AD
İS3
Merida AD 1-4 Real Murcia — Actual Match Statistics
Real Murcia cruised past Merida AD 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Real Murcia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Merida AD had 45% of the ball to Real Murcia's 55%, shots finished 8-13.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Murcia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Merida AD and 1.00 for Real Murcia.
What was the final score of Merida AD vs Real Murcia?
Merida AD 1-4 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Real Murcia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 39%, draw 26%, Real Murcia 34%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.