Estepona 3-1 CD Aguilas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.3pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+8.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.29/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.90
+6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
1W-1D-1L
AWAY CD Aguilas
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
13.10.2024 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
21.01.2024 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 1-0 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
10.09.2023 Estepona Estepona 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
3-1
AWAY CD Aguilas
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estepona vs CD Aguilas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona got the better of CD Aguilas 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Estepona made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estepona had 51% of the ball to CD Aguilas's 49%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estepona and 0.67 for CD Aguilas.

What was the final score of Estepona vs CD Aguilas?

Estepona 3-1 CD Aguilas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs CD Aguilas?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Estepona 36%, draw 26%, CD Aguilas 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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