CD Aguilas 0-0 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.22/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.74
-4% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +63%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Aguilas
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Estepona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 1-0 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
10.09.2023 Estepona Estepona 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Aguilas
0-0
AWAY Estepona
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 0
POST-MATCH CD Aguilas vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas and Estepona fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was CD Aguilas at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CD Aguilas had 66% of the ball to Estepona's 34%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Aguilas and 1.00 for Estepona.

What was the final score of CD Aguilas vs Estepona?

CD Aguilas 0-0 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Aguilas vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CD Aguilas 46%, draw 27%, Estepona 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Aguilas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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