Salernitana 1-1 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
3.11
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1
10%
4.92
X/2
14%
7.04
X/X
12%
3.82
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
7%
5.46
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.33/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.34
+5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
22.0 Crosses 18.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Frosinone
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.78 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
288 Passes 347
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 2-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
26.04.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 3-0 HT 2-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTA
22.09.2023 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
05.04.2021 Salernitana Salernitana 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
18.12.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
29.02.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
1-1
AWAY Frosinone
2.21 xG 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
347 Passes 322
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana and Frosinone shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Salernitana at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Salernitana had 53% of the ball to Frosinone's 47%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.21 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Salernitana and 1.17 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Frosinone?

Salernitana 1-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 44%, draw 28%, Frosinone 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salernitana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salernitana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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