Hoffenheim 1-1 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
7.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.84
1/2
6%
21.0
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
8%
7.5
X/2
14%
5.1
X/X
9%
5.73
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
24%
2.66
2/X
5%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.2pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 50%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -21%
1.85/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.21
+66% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -22%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 79%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
20.7 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 2.42
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
282 Passes 461
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-1 HT 0-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
16.03.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 0-3 HT 0-2 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
28.10.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-3 HT 0-2 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
27.05.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-1 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
24.01.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 2-2 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
25.02.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 2-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
1-1
AWAY Stuttgart
1.05 xG 2.16
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
381 Passes 501
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 51
14 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim and Stuttgart shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stuttgart at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hoffenheim had 45% of the ball to Stuttgart's 55%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.05 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hoffenheim and 1.67 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart?

Hoffenheim 1-1 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 32%, draw 24%, Stuttgart 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stuttgart), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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