San Telmo 0-3 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.1pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.1pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Telmo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -2%
1.18/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.90
+4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Telmo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
18.08.2024 San Telmo San Telmo 1-2 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
01.04.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 HT 0-1 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
18.06.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 HT 1-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
11.02.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 2-2 HT 1-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
14.08.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
19.09.2021 San Telmo San Telmo 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano cruised past San Telmo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was San Telmo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for San Telmo and 1.00 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano?

San Telmo 0-3 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split San Telmo 43%, draw 29%, Defensores De Belgrano 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (San Telmo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Telmo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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