Boca Juniors vs Atletico Aldosivi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boca Juniors v Atletico Aldosivi — Team-Based Signals
Boca Juniors vs Atletico Aldosivi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Atletico Aldosivi
ARJ
1-2
HT 0-1
Boca Juniors
ARJ
0-3
HT 0-1
Boca Juniors
ARJ
2-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Aldosivi
ARJ
1-1
HT 1-1
Boca Juniors
ARJ
0-4
HT 0-2
Boca Juniors
ARJ
Boca Juniors 2-1 Atletico Aldosivi — Actual Match Statistics
Boca Juniors squeezed past Atletico Aldosivi 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Boca Juniors had 66% of the ball to Atletico Aldosivi's 34%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.79 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Boca Juniors's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Boca Juniors and 0.50 for Atletico Aldosivi.
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Atletico Aldosivi?
Boca Juniors 2-1 Atletico Aldosivi in the Argentina - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Atletico Aldosivi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 50%, draw 27%, Atletico Aldosivi 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.