San Martin San Juan 0-2 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.91
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
48%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.73
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
12.4
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
6%
22.1
X/1
9%
12.6
X/2
14%
3.58
X/X
15%
4.45
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.93
2/X
5%
18.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
14%
+12.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
48%
Away Win
62%
-13.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.9pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 66%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -25%
0.61/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.02
-62% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +32%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
21.1 Crosses 19.8
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY River Plate
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.03 xG 2.65
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
221 Passes 400
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 27
28 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2018 River Plate River Plate 4-1 HT 2-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
18.09.2017 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-3 HT 1-2 River Plate River Plate ARJ
19.09.2016 River Plate River Plate 1-1 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
18.08.2015 River Plate River Plate 0-1 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
23.06.2013 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 2-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
09.12.2012 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-2 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Martin San Juan
0-2
AWAY River Plate
1.09 xG 1.08
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
119 Passes 321
57% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate beat San Martin San Juan 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, San Martin San Juan had 34% of the ball to River Plate's 66%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.09 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Martin San Juan and 2.17 for River Plate.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs River Plate?

San Martin San Juan 0-2 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 26%, draw 26%, River Plate 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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