Rosario Central 1-0 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
5.3
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.95
X/1
20%
3.78
X/2
7%
10.25
X/X
16%
3.9
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
8%
9.85
2/X
6%
19.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.32/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.39
-2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 68%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
26.7 Crosses 16.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.31
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
375 Passes 190
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4-2 HT 3-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
04.03.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 4-1 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
09.07.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
07.08.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
02.04.2017 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-2 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
22.03.2016 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
1-0
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.23 xG 0.24
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
338 Passes 237
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
6 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central squeezed past CA Sarmiento 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rosario Central as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Rosario Central had 58% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 42%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 1.23 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosario Central had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rosario Central and 1.50 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs CA Sarmiento?

Rosario Central 1-0 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 50%, draw 30%, CA Sarmiento 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosario Central), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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