RFC Liege 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
8.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.77/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.47
-37% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
22.4 Crosses 20.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Liege
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.77 xG 1.97
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
232 Passes 370
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 5
06.12.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1 HT 1-0 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
16.03.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-2 HT 1-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
12.11.2023 RFC Liege RFC Liege 2-4 HT 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
2-1
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.66 xG 0.88
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
253 Passes 328
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege squeezed past Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; RFC Liege found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, RFC Liege had 43% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 57%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.66 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lierse Kempenzonen led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for RFC Liege and 3.00 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

RFC Liege 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 38%, draw 24%, Lierse Kempenzonen 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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