Kagoshima United 1-2 Zweigen Kanazawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Zweigen Kanazawa EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.70/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.43
+19% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 160 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 22.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Zweigen Kanazawa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
31.08.2019 Zweigen Kanazawa Zweigen Kanazawa 1-2 HT 1-2 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
1-2
AWAY Zweigen Kanazawa
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
240 Passes 226
70% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Zweigen Kanazawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zweigen Kanazawa edged past Kagoshima United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Kagoshima United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 58% of the ball to Zweigen Kanazawa's 42%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

Kagoshima United 1-2 Zweigen Kanazawa in the Japan - J3 League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 44%, draw 26%, Zweigen Kanazawa 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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