Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-1 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.20/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.21
-8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
418 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.2 Crosses 6.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fukushima United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2024 Fukushima United Fukushima United 3-0 HT 2-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
02.03.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-2 HT 1-2 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
26.08.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
19.03.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
09.10.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 4-1 HT 3-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
29.05.2022 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-0 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3-1
AWAY Fukushima United
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
256 Passes 433
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki beat Fukushima United 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Tegevajaro Miyazaki found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 40% of the ball to Fukushima United's 60%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fukushima United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.33 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Fukushima United?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-1 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 37%, draw 27%, Fukushima United 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✓ BTTS Yes
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