Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.39/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.39
+18% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.9 Crosses 19.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
400 Passes 249
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2024 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
16.06.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 4-0 HT 2-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
22.10.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 3-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
16.04.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 3-4 HT 2-2 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
02.10.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
30.04.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
1-1
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
227 Passes 272
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azul Claro Numazu and Matsumoto Yamaga couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Matsumoto Yamaga at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 50% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 50%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Azul Claro Numazu and 1.67 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 33%, draw 26%, Matsumoto Yamaga 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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