Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.45/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.46
+12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
210 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.5 Crosses 22.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.06.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 4-0 HT 2-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
22.10.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 3-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
16.04.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 3-4 HT 2-2 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
02.10.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
30.04.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
0-1
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
400 Passes 249
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga nicked a narrow win over Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Matsumoto Yamaga as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 62% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 38%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Azul Claro Numazu and 1.80 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 31%, draw 28%, Matsumoto Yamaga 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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