Matsumoto Yamaga 4-0 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.23/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.09
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 3-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
16.04.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 3-4 HT 2-2 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
02.10.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
30.04.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
4-0
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga swept aside Azul Claro Numazu 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Matsumoto Yamaga made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 37% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 63%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Azul Claro Numazu led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.75 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Matsumoto Yamaga 4-0 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 38%, draw 26%, Azul Claro Numazu 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
16 Jun 2024
07:00 Vanraure Hachinohe vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki Analysis →
08:00 Kamatamare Sanuki vs Zweigen Kanazawa Analysis →
08:00 Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Nara Club Analysis →
08:05 Kataller Toyama vs Omiya Ardija Analysis →
12:00 Grulla Morioka vs Parceiro Nagano Analysis →
12:00 Imabari vs Sagamihara Analysis →