Kataller Toyama 1-1 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒08:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 45%
+25% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
2.18/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.49
+91% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +139%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
1-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama and Omiya Ardija shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 60% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 40%, shots finished 24-13.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Omiya Ardija?

Kataller Toyama 1-1 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J3 League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 36%, draw 25%, Omiya Ardija 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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