Imabari 2-1 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imabari EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.46/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.14
+3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Imabari
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2023 Imabari Imabari 1-3 HT 1-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
22.07.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
08.10.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-2 HT 0-1 Imabari Imabari JAP3
12.06.2022 Imabari Imabari 1-3 HT 1-2 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
20.12.2020 Imabari Imabari 1-2 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
19.09.2020 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-1 HT 0-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imabari
2-1
AWAY Sagamihara
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Imabari vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Imabari nicked a narrow win over Sagamihara 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Imabari made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Imabari had 45% of the ball to Sagamihara's 55%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagamihara led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Imabari and 1.50 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Imabari vs Sagamihara?

Imabari 2-1 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imabari vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Imabari 39%, draw 26%, Sagamihara 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Imabari) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Imabari) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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