Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-1 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +19%
1.46/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.66
+4% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +107%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Nara Club
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.08.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 0-1 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
11.06.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-0 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
2-1
AWAY Nara Club
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu squeezed past Nara Club 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Giravanz Kitakyushu as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 49% of the ball to Nara Club's 51%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Giravanz Kitakyushu had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 0.50 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Nara Club?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-1 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 44%, draw 28%, Nara Club 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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