Grulla Morioka 3-2 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.17/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.45
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
369 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grulla Morioka
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-3 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
03.05.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-4 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
05.09.2021 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-1 HT 0-1 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
28.03.2021 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 0-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
20.12.2020 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-2 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
16.08.2020 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-4 HT 0-3 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grulla Morioka
3-2
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grulla Morioka vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grulla Morioka squeezed past Parceiro Nagano 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Parceiro Nagano at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Grulla Morioka had 52% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 48%, shots finished 21-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grulla Morioka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Grulla Morioka and 1.33 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Grulla Morioka vs Parceiro Nagano?

Grulla Morioka 3-2 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grulla Morioka vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Grulla Morioka 30%, draw 27%, Parceiro Nagano 43%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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