Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
2.87
6+ Goals
14%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.1
X/1
18%
4.15
X/2
10%
10.65
X/X
9%
6.21
2/1
6%
20.3
2/2
9%
8.12
2/X
7%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.69/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.57
+8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
427 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
25.6 Crosses 17.9
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
246 Passes 431
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6-2 HT 3-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
19.06.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 HT 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
24.06.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
03.03.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 HT 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
10.08.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 HT 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
03.08.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.17 xG 0.35
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
316 Passes 497
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima squeezed past Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 42% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 58%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 1.17 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.50 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54%, draw 21%, Yokohama F. Marinos 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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