Al Shahaniya 3-2 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
8.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shahaniya EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 34%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
3.53/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.83
+15% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
47.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
25.0 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shahaniya
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Umm Salal
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.59 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
489 Passes 202
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 4-2 HT 1-2 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
05.03.2020 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
06.12.2019 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KATYK
04.10.2019 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 1-1 HT 1-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
06.03.2015 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-4 HT 2-1 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shahaniya
3-2
AWAY Umm Salal
0.80 xG 1.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 Passes 183
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shahaniya vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shahaniya squeezed past Umm Salal 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Al Shahaniya found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Shahaniya had 57% of the ball to Umm Salal's 43%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.80 to 1.38 — on chances, Umm Salal could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Umm Salal led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Al Shahaniya and 2.40 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Al Shahaniya vs Umm Salal?

Al Shahaniya 3-2 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shahaniya vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shahaniya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Shahaniya 38%, draw 26%, Umm Salal 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shahaniya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shahaniya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAT More Qatar League
23 Feb 2025
16:45 Al Arabi vs Al Ahli Analysis →
19:00 Al Wakrah vs Al Rayyan Analysis →