Al Arabi 4-2 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.06
2-3 Goals
44%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.1pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.16/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.28
-26% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
19.4 Crosses 13.1
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.72 xG 2.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
448 Passes 296
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 3-3 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
30.08.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
16.03.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
11.11.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-6 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
29.10.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-3 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
13.04.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 4-3 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi saw off Al Ahli 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Al Arabi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Arabi and 2.67 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Ahli?

Al Arabi 4-2 Al Ahli in the Qatar League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 37%, draw 27%, Al Ahli 36%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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