MOL Fehervar 1-3 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 23 Feb 2025

MOL Fehervar
1-3 HT 0-2
Ferencvaros
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

MOL Fehervar vs Ferencvaros Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
44%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+9.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
44%
Away Win
57%
-12.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MOL Fehervar v Ferencvaros — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 61%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.31/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.89
+40% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
235 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.2
12.3 Crosses 24.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

MOL Fehervar vs Ferencvaros Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MOL Fehervar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.67 xG 1.78
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
252 Passes 444
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-0 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
10.03.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 0-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
12.11.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-1 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
06.08.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-5 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
02.04.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-2 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
06.11.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 2-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC

MOL Fehervar 1-3 Ferencvaros — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MOL Fehervar
1-3
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.13 xG 2.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 8
284 Passes 362
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 44
11 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MOL Fehervar vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros beat MOL Fehervar 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MOL Fehervar had 46% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 54%, shots finished 7-23, expected goals 1.13 to 2.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for MOL Fehervar and 2.17 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs Ferencvaros?

MOL Fehervar 1-3 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 28%, draw 28%, Ferencvaros 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
23 Feb 2025
17:30 Györi ETO vs Zalaegerszegi TE Analysis →