Zemplin Michalovce 1-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 25% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.20/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.50
-26% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 71%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
22.7 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zemplin Michalovce
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.96 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
314 Passes 328
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-0 HT 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
26.04.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 2-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
13.04.2024 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 0-1 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
11.11.2023 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-1 HT 2-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
11.08.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-3 HT 0-2 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
01.10.2022 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-1 HT 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zemplin Michalovce
1-0
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica
1.01 xG 0.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 7
312 Passes 227
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zemplin Michalovce vs Dukla Banska Bystrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zemplin Michalovce squeezed past Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zemplin Michalovce as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Zemplin Michalovce had 56% of the ball to Dukla Banska Bystrica's 44%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.01 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dukla Banska Bystrica led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zemplin Michalovce and 1.67 for Dukla Banska Bystrica.

What was the final score of Zemplin Michalovce vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

Zemplin Michalovce 1-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica in the Slovakia Super League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zemplin Michalovce vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zemplin Michalovce win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zemplin Michalovce 46%, draw 24%, Dukla Banska Bystrica 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zemplin Michalovce), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zemplin Michalovce) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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