Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Botev Plovdiv v Ludogorets Razgrad — Team-Based Signals
Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Ludogorets Razgrad — Actual Match Statistics
Botev Plovdiv found just enough to beat Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
File this under upsets: a 69% lean on Ludogorets Razgrad went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both. At 1.74 (~57%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
The match data tells the story: Botev Plovdiv had 39% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 61%, shots finished 6-14.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 2.33 for Ludogorets Razgrad.
Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad Result & Final Score
Botev Plovdiv 2 - 1 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 12%, draw 19%, Ludogorets Razgrad 69%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS No went the other way.