Boyaca Chico 0-1 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
0.96/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.94
-12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 75%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
20.4 Crosses 15.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boyaca Chico
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.77 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
267 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.03.2025 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
23.04.2024 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-2 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
24.09.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
17.04.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
12.11.2020 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-2 HT 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
12.08.2018 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boyaca Chico
0-1
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.22 xG 0.97
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
315 Passes 250
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
5 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boyaca Chico vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas nicked a narrow win over Boyaca Chico 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Aguilas Doradas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Boyaca Chico had 55% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 45%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.22 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Boyaca Chico and 1.50 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Aguilas Doradas?

Boyaca Chico 0-1 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boyaca Chico win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 36%, draw 29%, Aguilas Doradas 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Boyaca Chico) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boyaca Chico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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