Santa Fe 2-1 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.10/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.05
-18% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
21.3 Crosses 13.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Junior
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.46 xG 1.09
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
196 Passes 347
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.01.2026 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-0 HT 2-0 Junior Junior KOLSK
16.01.2026 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOLSK
30.10.2025 Junior Junior 1-2 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
11.05.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
02.09.2024 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
22.02.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-0 HT 2-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
2-1
AWAY Junior
1.53 xG 1.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
251 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe squeezed past Junior 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Fe had 43% of the ball to Junior's 57%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.53 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Santa Fe and 0.67 for Junior.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Junior?

Santa Fe 2-1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 47%, draw 28%, Junior 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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