Junior 1-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Super Cup, 16 Jan 2026

📅16/01/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.00/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-63% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -32%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.97 xG 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
348 Passes 223
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.10.2025 Junior Junior 1-2 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
11.05.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
02.09.2024 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
22.02.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-0 HT 2-0 Junior Junior KOL
03.09.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
19.03.2023 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 1-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
POST-MATCH Junior vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior and Santa Fe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Junior at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Junior and 1.67 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Junior vs Santa Fe?

Junior 1-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Super Cup on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Junior 46%, draw 26%, Santa Fe 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Junior), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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