Santa Fe vs Junior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Junior — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Junior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Junior
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Santa Fe
KOL
2-3
HT 0-0
Santa Fe
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Santa Fe
KOL
Santa Fe 2-1 Junior — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over Junior 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santa Fe had 59% of the ball to Junior's 41%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 2.58 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Santa Fe's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santa Fe and 1.00 for Junior.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Junior?
Santa Fe 2-1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Junior?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 47%, draw 25%, Junior 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.