Fortaleza CEIF 4-0 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒01:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 29%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.18/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.25
+6% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
14.8 Crosses 14.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1W-3D-0L
AWAY La Equidad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.37 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
289 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2025 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
06.11.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
19.04.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
06.04.2014 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
4-0
AWAY La Equidad
1.51 xG 0.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
271 Passes 256
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF cruised past La Equidad 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 49% of the ball to La Equidad's 51%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.51 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 0.75 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs La Equidad?

Fortaleza CEIF 4-0 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 48%, draw 29%, La Equidad 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✗ Under 2.5
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11 May 2025
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