Junior 1-2 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 30 Oct 2025

Junior
1-2 HT 1-0
Santa Fe
📅30/10/2025 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Junior vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
+0.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.7pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Junior v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.48/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.17
+15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
17.4 Crosses 14.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.7

Junior vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.00 xG 1.46
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 Passes 222
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.05.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
02.09.2024 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
22.02.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-0 HT 2-0 Junior Junior KOL
03.09.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
19.03.2023 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 1-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
24.11.2022 Junior Junior 2-3 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL

Junior 1-2 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
1-2
AWAY Santa Fe
1.43 xG 0.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
23 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
267 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Junior vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over Junior 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Junior at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Junior had 49% of the ball to Santa Fe's 51%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 1.43 to 0.68 — the balance of chances actually favoured Junior.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Junior and 1.83 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Junior vs Santa Fe?

Junior 1-2 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Junior 56%, draw 21%, Santa Fe 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Junior) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✓ BTTS Yes
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