La Equidad 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
17%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
220 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
11.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.8 Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.75 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
227 Passes 300
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
08.09.2025 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
11.05.2025 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 4-0 HT 3-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
23.03.2025 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
06.11.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
19.04.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
06.04.2014 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
0-1
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.23 xG 1.32
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
177 Passes 360
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF squeezed past La Equidad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, La Equidad had 37% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 63%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.23 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for La Equidad and 1.50 for Fortaleza CEIF.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF?

La Equidad 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 20%, draw 25%, Fortaleza CEIF 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ BTTS No
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