Canuelas 2-1 Villa San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Primier B Metropol, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
43%
4-5
15%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.0pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.7pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canuelas The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Villa San Carlos The Market 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -63%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Canuelas vs Villa San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canuelas nicked a narrow win over Villa San Carlos 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 34% — and on the day Canuelas made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Canuelas vs Villa San Carlos?

Canuelas 2-1 Villa San Carlos in the Argentina - Primier B Metropol on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canuelas vs Villa San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Villa San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Canuelas 32%, draw 33%, Villa San Carlos 34%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Villa San Carlos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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